ACT Election 2020: What do the Liberals need to do to win?

www.canberratimes.com.au
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Alistair Coe sees a clear pathway to victory for the Canberra Liberals - if not necessarily an easy one. Analysts agree.
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ACT Liberal leader Alistair Coe is playing to win this October. Staring down the barrel of more than two decades lost in opposition, the stakes are high. Most pundits rate Labor as the favourite to win a sixth straight term at the upcoming territory election, but no one is writing the Liberals off. An ACT election has little certainty - there's no long-term polling, so it's difficult to gauge the mood of the electorate through anything more than feel. But the numbers suggest there will be two key battlegrounds - the Woden and Weston Creek-based seat of Murrumbidgee, and the Gungahlin-based Yerrabi. In reality, the results will most likely come down to just a few thousand votes. Opposition Leader Alistair Coe is happy to embrace the underdog status as he prepares to face off with Chief Minister Andrew Barr on October 17. He's come under attack for socially conservative views his opponents say are out of touch with those of everyday Canberrans. But Coe will be pinning his hopes on cutting through with hyper-local issues and cost of living pressures. "We're running to win," he says. The Liberals need to pick up two extra seats to get to the magic number of 13 MLAs required to form a majority government. The seat of Murrumbidgee appears to be the party's best chance of gaining some ground, and is a must-win for them to stay in the race. The seat currently has two Labor, two Liberal, and one Greens member. The Liberals came very close to winning the third spot in the seat at the 2016 election, with Greens member Caroline Le Couteur taking it by about 400 votes. Since then, the seat's boundaries have changed, adding in the strong Liberal areas of Yarralumla and Deakin. Ben Raue from the Tally Room says this redistribution made the seat notionally Liberal. So if last election's results were applied to the changed boundaries, the Greens would lose…
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