At What Level Will Driverless Technology Develop Before You Will Consider Buying a Self-Driving Car?

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Every time I see content and remarks about the evolution of smart or driverless technology, it reminds me of the technology maturity curve model, which is used to describe Curve model of technology…
At What Level Will Driverless Technology Develop Before You Will Consider Buying a Self-Driving Car? ByteBridge Just now·7 min read

Every time I see content and remarks about the evolution of smart or driverless technology, it reminds me of the technology maturity curve model, which is used to describe Curve model of technology maturity and media communication:

The Hype Cycle was born in Silicon Valley. It refers to the fact that after the hype in the news media and academic conferences, the new technology trend suddenly fell to the bottom, and the start-ups that initially developed by relying on this new technology suddenly became Precarious.

In 1995, Gartner Consulting Company, based on its professional analysis, predicted and inferred the mature evolution speed of various new technologies and the time required to reach maturity, divided into 5 stages:

1.Technology Trigger:

At this stage, with excessive media coverage and irrational rendering, the popularity of the product is ubiquitous. However, as the shortcomings, problems, and limitations of this technology appear, the failure cases are greater than the success cases

2. Peak of Inflated Expectations:

The excessive public attention in the early days led to a series of success stories. Of course, there were also many failures. For the failure, some companies took remedial measures, but most of them remained indifferent.

3. Trough of Disillusionment:

The technologies that survived through the previous stages have undergone many solid and focused experiments, and the scope and limitations of this technology are based on an objective and practical understanding, and a successful and viable business model has gradually grown.

4. Slope of Enlightenment:

At this stage, new technology was born, which received high attention from major media and the industry, such as the Internet and the Web in 1996.

5. Plateau of Productivity:

At this stage, the benefits and potential generated by the new technology are…
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