COVID-19 Deaths In Los Angeles Projected To Triple Over Next Few Weeks

deadline.com
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One day after Los Angeles saw its highest number of daily COVID-19 cases ever, county health officials warned of another related rising number: deaths. "Our daily counts for the past few days have been higher than a usual week," said L.A. County Director of Public Health Barbara Ferrer. "The last 3 days we've been over […]
One day after Los Angeles saw its highest number of daily COVID-19 cases ever, county health officials warned of another related rising number: deaths.

"Our daily counts for the past few days have been higher than a usual week," said L.A. County Director of Public Health Barbara Ferrer. "The last 3 days we've been over 25 deaths each day, and that's unusual. Today and yesterday's rates have been higher."

The number of deaths related to the virus reported on Friday was 35. That may not seem like much, but multiplied over the course of a month that's more than 1,000 additional people lost. And there's not much to indicate that the daily number of deaths will go down anytime soon.

On Wednesday, L.A. County director of health and human services, Dr. Christina Ghaly warned that an increase in hospitalizations is almost inevitable in the next two weeks, given the current number of new cases and the virus's incubation period.

Ghaly then laid out the probable end result with an equation. She noted that about 12% of all coronavirus cases end up in the hospital before continuing. "Half of those end up in ICU," she continued. "Two-thirds of those are on a ventilator. Half of those will die, based on previous experience."

So, if we run Friday's near-record number of 4,272 coronavirus cases through that equation, the daily death toll resulting from today's cases in 2-3 weeks may be as high as 85 deaths a day. That's more than three times Friday's reported COVID-19 deaths. Again, over the course of a month that would work out to 2,500 deaths. For context, the highest number of…
Tom Tapp
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