Special election a bellwether for Texas Democrats | TheHill

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Republicans and Democrats are lining up to replace the late Rep. Ron Wright (R-Texas)...
Republicans and Democrats are lining up to replace the late Rep. Ron Wright Ron WrightSpecial election a bellwether for Texas Democrats GOP candidate in Texas House race endorsed by fellow Korean American reps Ex-Trump aide Pierson won't run for Dallas-area House seat MORE (R-Texas) in a special election that is seen as a possible bellwether of Democrats' ability to muster enthusiasm in Texas and take advantage of their newfound popularity in the suburbs.

Twenty-three candidates — 11 Republicans, 10 Democrats, a Libertarian and an independent — have filed to run in the May 1 election. While the 6th Congressional District has been controlled by Republicans since the 1980s, Biden came within 3 points of flipping the district, which is made up of the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and more rural Ellis and Navarro counties.

"I think it is a bellwether, but I think it's still on the verge of becoming sort of a swing district," said Texas-based Democratic strategist Sawyer Hackett. "In the last [five years] the district has gotten a lot more competitive, the state has gotten a lot more competitive."

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A win in the district would put Texas squarely on the map for Democrats deciding where to invest money and energy in the midterm elections.

"This isn't necessarily a bellwether. I think the biggest thing is if we're able to pull this off, that means it's going to be a Democratic landslide, like Texas is really on the verge of turning blue," said one Texas-based Democratic strategist.

The primary is set to take place on May 1 and will be the first election in the state since Republicans dominated up and down the ballot in November, dashing Democratic hopes of finally turning the state blue. Wright won his district – one of the races Democrats targeted – in 2020 by about 9 points

Democrat Jana Lynne Sanchez, who lost to Wright by 12 points in 2018, is seen by many Democrats as their party's front-runner. Sanchez credits her work as a previous candidate as well…
Julia Manchester
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