Texas Democrats issue report on 2020 elections

www.washingtonpost.com
5 min read
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Republicans bested Democrats with their turnout operation in the Lone Star state.
"We need to massively expand our voter registration ambitions," according to the review conducted and written by Hudson Cavanagh, the Texas Democrats' director of data science. "From 2018 to 2020, we lost ground in terms of voter registration, losing about 26,000 net votes. However, there are more than enough potential registrants to flip the state if we invest in and execute effective programs at scale."

"Republicans did better in activating their base in Texas among high-propensity voters, low-propensity voters and everyone in between. Republicans had a better turnout operation than we did," the report states.

The Democratic dream of turning Texas blue failed to materialize in November. But Joe Biden came closest to flipping the Lone Star State than any other Democrat in the past 25 years, losing the state to Donald Trump by 631,221 votes.

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The last Democratic presidential candidate to win the state was Jimmy Carter in 1976, though recent demographic changes since the 2016 election bode well for the left. At least 2 million moved to the state from California, New York and Florida — many of them Democrats — and an estimated 800,000 young Latino Americans turned 18.

Texas Democrats decided to undertake a review of their 2020 performance after falling short of high expectations. They thought they could not only beat Trump, but also be competitive in the Senate race to topple GOP Sen. John Cornyn and flip the state house and several U.S. House seats. But Cornyn handily won reelection against MJ Hegar, and Texas Republicans largely held Democrats off.

The report concludes their losses were largely due to three things: limited spending in the state, sub-par outreach to and mobilization of Latino voters, and the suspension of in-person voter contact that hindered efforts to turn out low-propensity voters.

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The report cites modeling projecting at least 2.17 million "solidly Democratic unregistered voters in Texas," based on figures from the 2010…
Jacqueline Alemany
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